Detailrapport resultaten

Eén plek voor de volledige forecastlijn, horizon-verklaringen, validatiestatistieken en het marktevent-logboek.

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Horizon tabs

4 weken vooruit Doelweek 23-03-2026
▼ Prijs daalt
Voorspelling €1.92
Actual
  • price_t_lag0 83.4% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag8 3.1% · downward
  • week_of_year_lag12 1.9% · downward
  • diesel_ma_8w_lag12 1.9% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 1.5% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag0 1.2% · downward
  • diesel_ma_4w_lag8 1.1% · upward
  • week_of_year_lag8 0.9% · downward
  • price_t_lag1 0.8% · upward
  • diesel_ma_4w_lag0 0.8% · upward
8 weken vooruit Doelweek 20-04-2026
▲ Prijs stijgt
Voorspelling €3.70
Actual
  • price_t_lag0 64.8% · upward
  • week_of_year_lag12 6.4% · downward
  • diesel_ma_8w_lag12 3.7% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 3.4% · upward
  • transport_cost_index_lag0 2.7% · upward
  • days_from_holiday_lag0 2.3% · downward
  • transport_cost_index_lag1 1.8% · upward
  • diesel_ma_4w_lag0 1.8% · upward
  • diesel_ma_8w_lag1 1.7% · upward
  • week_of_year_lag8 1.7% · downward
12 weken vooruit Doelweek 18-05-2026
▲ Prijs stijgt
Voorspelling €4.50
Actual
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag12 41.6% · upward
  • price_t_lag0 19.2% · upward
  • price_t_lag1 5.6% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag0 5.1% · downward
  • processing_utilization_level_lag8 5.1% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 3.0% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag1 2.5% · downward
  • oog_total_ton_lag8 1.8% · downward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag12 1.8% · upward
  • quality_storability_level_lag12 1.8% · upward
16 weken vooruit Doelweek 15-06-2026
▲ Prijs stijgt
Voorspelling €2.46
Actual
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag12 46.1% · upward
  • price_t_lag0 15.5% · upward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag8 4.6% · upward
  • processing_utilization_level_lag0 3.7% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 3.7% · upward
  • price_t_lag1 2.3% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag12 2.3% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag0 2.0% · downward
  • processing_utilization_level_lag1 1.9% · upward
  • quality_storability_level_lag8 1.7% · upward
20 weken vooruit Doelweek 13-07-2026
▲ Prijs stijgt
Voorspelling €4.12
Actual
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag12 44.5% · upward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag8 9.8% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 5.6% · upward
  • price_t_lag0 4.1% · upward
  • oog_total_ton_lag12 3.9% · downward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag0 3.4% · downward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag0 2.9% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag12 2.8% · upward
  • processing_utilization_level_lag0 2.8% · upward
  • oog_area_planted_ha_lag12 2.3% · downward
24 weken vooruit Doelweek 10-08-2026
▲ Prijs stijgt
Voorspelling €5.24
Actual
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag8 33.9% · upward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag12 21.4% · upward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag0 4.5% · upward
  • price_t_lag1 4.2% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 3.8% · upward
  • price_t_lag0 3.5% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag0 3.1% · upward
  • oog_area_harvested_ha_lag8 2.8% · downward
  • oog_area_planted_ha_lag8 2.6% · downward
  • oog_area_harvested_ha_lag12 2.3% · downward
28 weken vooruit Doelweek 07-09-2026
▼ Prijs daalt
Voorspelling €9.21
Actual
  • growing_rise_offset_days_lag1 34.5% · upward
  • growing_rise_offset_days_lag0 10.3% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag12 7.6% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 5.7% · upward
  • growing_peak_width_days_lag1 5.1% · downward
  • growing_rise_duration_days_lag8 4.1% · downward
  • growing_peak_width_days_lag8 3.9% · downward
  • price_t_lag0 3.4% · upward
  • price_t_lag1 2.8% · upward
  • growing_rise_duration_days_lag1 2.7% · downward

Rolling-origin validatie

Horizon MAE MAPE RMSE Trendscore (≥ €2)
H04W €1.80 15.9% €3.17 86.6%
H08W €2.32 23.0% €3.89 89.0%
H12W €1.74 16.9% €3.23 89.4%
H16W €1.71 14.5% €3.04 81.9%
H20W €1.82 17.9% €3.31 83.0%
H24W €1.87 18.5% €3.43 80.9%
H28W €1.66 15.2% €3.20 82.9%

Driverstacks

4 weken vooruit 23-03-2026
Voorspelling €1.92
Interval
— – —
Trendum
Prijs daalt
  • price_t_lag0 83.4% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag8 3.1% · downward
  • week_of_year_lag12 1.9% · downward
  • diesel_ma_8w_lag12 1.9% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 1.5% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag0 1.2% · downward
8 weken vooruit 20-04-2026
Voorspelling €3.70
Interval
— – —
Trendum
Prijs stijgt
  • price_t_lag0 64.8% · upward
  • week_of_year_lag12 6.4% · downward
  • diesel_ma_8w_lag12 3.7% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 3.4% · upward
  • transport_cost_index_lag0 2.7% · upward
  • days_from_holiday_lag0 2.3% · downward
12 weken vooruit 18-05-2026
Voorspelling €4.50
Interval
— – —
Trendum
Prijs stijgt
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag12 41.6% · upward
  • price_t_lag0 19.2% · upward
  • price_t_lag1 5.6% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag0 5.1% · downward
  • processing_utilization_level_lag8 5.1% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 3.0% · upward
16 weken vooruit 15-06-2026
Voorspelling €2.46
Interval
— – —
Trendum
Prijs stijgt
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag12 46.1% · upward
  • price_t_lag0 15.5% · upward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag8 4.6% · upward
  • processing_utilization_level_lag0 3.7% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 3.7% · upward
  • price_t_lag1 2.3% · upward
20 weken vooruit 13-07-2026
Voorspelling €4.12
Interval
— – —
Trendum
Prijs stijgt
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag12 44.5% · upward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag8 9.8% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 5.6% · upward
  • price_t_lag0 4.1% · upward
  • oog_total_ton_lag12 3.9% · downward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag0 3.4% · downward
24 weken vooruit 10-08-2026
Voorspelling €5.24
Interval
— – —
Trendum
Prijs stijgt
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag8 33.9% · upward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag12 21.4% · upward
  • season_mean_pred_rf_lag0 4.5% · upward
  • price_t_lag1 4.2% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 3.8% · upward
  • price_t_lag0 3.5% · upward
28 weken vooruit 07-09-2026
Voorspelling €9.21
Interval
— – —
Trendum
Prijs daalt
  • growing_rise_offset_days_lag1 34.5% · upward
  • growing_rise_offset_days_lag0 10.3% · upward
  • gdd_cumulative_growing_season_lag12 7.6% · upward
  • price_t_lag8 5.7% · upward
  • growing_peak_width_days_lag1 5.1% · downward
  • growing_rise_duration_days_lag8 4.1% · downward